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No one can possibly have missed that Greece is almost
bankrupt.
But what the h-ll happened? According to BBC News Greece
did benefit a lot from low interest rates as it joined the euro and used
that opportunity to spend and borrow, a lot. Not so clever because what
you loan, you eventually need to pay back. And payback time is now.
Unfortunately at this moment the country has a jobless rate of above 10%
and a debt burden of around 130% of GDP. And the country continues, as
it almost always has been, to break the EU deficit rules by letting its
budget deficit slip to about 13%, and reports state that it is probably
even more.
So it's bailout time. The New York Times has an article on
the situation and on the commitment of the euro members to help the poor
country. But should they really? Has the country been good and tried to
do things right? The answer to that must be no, the Wall Street Journal
reports. It seems like Greece lied on their euro-zone application. It
seems like Greece never, with one exception, met the committed goals on
government deficit. It seems like they have spent their money like there
was no tomorrow.
So what is the moral of this story? That a country
can sink their economy, almost sink the EU and then just expect others
to bail them out? The spender saved by the saver? Because that is what it
looks like from the outside if the other euro countries pick up the
bills. Or would it be better to let Greece default on its loans? That
would probably drag the other PIGS countries with it, and maybe a few
more. And that would probably be worse than doing the proper thing, to
let Greece pick up the bills themselves.
A quote from John Maynard
Keynes is in place at this time, "If you owe your bank a hundred
pounds, you have a problem. But if you owe a million, it has". Can the
EU afford to let Greece default?
The swedish newspaper Dagens Nyheter
argues on its opinion page a few days ago that Sweden should help Greece
by joining the euro cooperation right now. There is only one proper reply
to that, and that is, Are you mad? How would that help Greece? And how
would that, in any way at all, benefit Sweden? In no way whatsoever!
Let us instead use this moment to consider the good fortune of any
country that is able to control its own interest rates when necessary.
But maybe I could, perhaps, give what WSJ writes another thought.
That the problem is not the euro, the problem is that Greece was allowed
to join..
Last modified on 2010-02-11 at 18:20:43
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